Carson Tanguilig vs Lilian Poling Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Recent second serve performance indicates Carson Tanguilig (37.61%) slightly edges out Lilian Poling (36.69%). Is this gap significant enough to determine a winner? It could play a role.
• Regarding return game capability, Tanguilig also holds a minor advantage when facing second serves with 51.35% against Poling's 50.85%. However, Poling excels in first serve returns, winning 36.19% compared to Tanguilig’s 31.95%, suggesting a potential upper hand on strong initial serves.
• Under pressure, the ability to save breakpoints is critical. Tanguilig again has a slight edge, having saved 43.40% of breakpoints compared to Poling's 42.07%.
• Performance throughout the year shows Tanguilig with a significantly higher match win percentage of 72.22% versus Poling's 46.97%. Could this indicate a stronger psychological advantage?
• Both players perform optimally on clay courts, sharing a 55% win rate; however, Tanguilig maintains a slightly better hard court record.
• Event level suggests difference in competition, with Poling competing primarily at Challenger/ITF $10K and winning 46.34%, while Tanguilig has been dominant at Futures/ITF $10K with an 80% success rate.
• Opponent quality reveals Tanguilig faced slightly higher-ranked opponents (average rank 222.78) compared to Poling’s 281.86, potentially indicating more challenging experiences.
• Deciding set statistics reveal a notable difference; Tanguilig has secured 67% of these sets, over Poling’s 53%, offering a potential advantage in close matches.
• Break point conversion metrics are nearly identical for both players, with Poling converting 38.96% and Tanguilig 38.64%, suggesting break points might not decisively favor one player.

Editorial Prediction (November 12, 2025, UTC):

This matchup presents a competitive clash, with both players exhibiting strengths in various areas. Lilian Poling showcases superior return capabilities on first serves, hinting at a potential advantage if she can maintain high service standards.

Conversely, Carson Tanguilig demonstrates slightly better overall performance through her year-long match win percentage, second serve, and break point capabilities. Her recent record against higher-ranked players could be indicative of her readiness for tougher challenges.

Given the data and performance factors, Carson Tanguilig emerges as the likely favorite to win this upcoming tennis match, considering her edge in key performance trends and competitive experience.